Brisbane Lions are 1st on the ladder and strong at home. Line bet is Lions -15.5 with Jeremy Cameron 3+ goals at $2.20 as the value player pick - Cameron is due for a big game after a quiet round last week.
Thursday night football at the Gabba is fortress territory for Brisbane. The Lions have won 9 of their last 10 home games and their percentage speaks to dominant winning margins. Geelong have the talent to keep this close but the line of -15.5 reflects the Lions' home dominance against a side showing inconsistent form.
Last 5: WWWWW
Brisbane are 1st on the ladder and flying at the Gabba. Their pace, pressure and defensive structure are elite. Lachie Neale and Josh Dunkley anchor a dominant midfield. Expect Brisbane to dictate territory from the first bounce.
Last 5: LWLWL
Geelong are mid-table and inconsistent. They have the class to compete but concede a 15.5-point head start here. Jeremy Cameron was quiet last round - he's due for a big game and represents genuine value at $2.20 for 3+ goals.
Brisbane have won 6 of the last 8 meetings. Last meeting: Brisbane won by 22 points at the Gabba in Round 14 2025.
Tips are editorial predictions only. Odds correct at time of publishing - always confirm before placing. Gamble responsibly. 18+
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