St Kilda vs Richmond - Tips, Odds & Analysis

📅 Sunday 17 May 2026 🕐 3:15 PM AEST 🏘 Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

Short Answer

Richmond are winless through 9 rounds and have conceded 969 points this season. St Kilda should win by a large margin - line bet Saints -40.5. Jack Ross 25+ disposals at $1.80 is the value player pick - Ross has cleared 25+ in his last 4 games.

Key Findings

→Richmond are 0-9 and have conceded 969 points (108/game) - the worst defensive record in the competition
→Jack Ross has cleared 25+ disposals in each of his last 4 games
→$1.80 for Jack Ross 25+ disposals is great value given his current form
→St Kilda, despite being 11th, should win this comfortably
→Richmond have not won since Round 10 2025 - a remarkable losing streak

Jake Morrison - AFL Tipster, PuntGuide

Jake is a lifelong AFL fan and dedicated tipster who has been covering the game for PuntGuide since 2023. He specialises in line markets and player specials across all 18 clubs. Published Sunday 17 May 2026.

Match Overview

Richmond are winless and have been competitive in virtually no games this season. St Kilda are not a powerhouse side - they're 11th - but even a mid-table side should demolish a team of Richmond's current quality. 40.5 is a big line for St Kilda but Richmond are genuinely that bad. Jack Ross is the player to watch - he has cleared 25+ disposals in 4 straight games.

St Kilda

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Last 5: WLWWL

St Kilda are 11th on the ladder and face the winless Richmond Tigers - a team that has conceded 969 points (108 per game) this season. The Saints should win comfortably and a 40.5-point line, while large, reflects Richmond's genuine inability to compete.

Richmond

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Last 5: LLLLL

Richmond are 18th and winless through 9 rounds - the worst team in the competition by percentage. They concede 108 points per game and have been uncompetitive in almost every match. Jack Ross is their standout individual player and has been consistently accumulating disposals.

St Kilda have won 6 of the last 8 meetings. Richmond have not beaten St Kilda since Round 12 2024.

Our Tips for St Kilda vs Richmond

⭐ Line Bet

St Kilda -40.5

Richmond are winless (0-9), conceding 108 points per game. St Kilda, despite being only 11th, should cover a large line against the competition's worst side.

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🔥 Player Special

Jack Ross 25+ disposals $1.80

The Richmond midfielder has cleared 25+ disposals in each of his last 4 games - in form regardless of his team's results. $1.80 is solid value for such consistent recent form.

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Frequently Asked Questions

St Kilda -40.5. The Saints need to win by 41 or more for the line bet to pay out.

Ross has cleared 25+ disposals in 4 straight games. He's a hard-running midfielder who accumulates heavily even in losing teams. $1.80 is solid value for such consistent recent form.

3:15 PM AEST on Sunday 17 May 2026 at Marvel Stadium.

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