| Horse | PointsBet Win | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Jimmysstar ⭐ | $4.50 | Joint favourite · proven sprint form |
| Jokers Grin | $4.50 | Joint favourite · watch for market moves |
| Grafterburners 💰 | $6.00 | Value at $6 · strong BTC Cup form |
| Lady Of Camelot | $6.00 | Consistent sprinting mare |
| Private Harry | $8.00 | Honest performer · place prospects |
| Rey Magnerio | $8.00 | Brisbane specialist · track suits |
| Private Eye | $8.00 | Competitive at this level |
| Devil Night | $11.00 | Each-way hopes |
| Napoleonic | $11.00 | Each-way hopes |
| Skybird | $15.00 | Needs everything to go right |
| Charm Stone | $15.00 | Needs everything to go right |
| Headwall | $15.00 | Needs everything to go right |
| Point Barrow | $15.00 | Needs everything to go right |
| Sweynesday | $15.00 | Needs everything to go right |
| Bridal Waltz | $15.00 | Needs everything to go right |
| Flying For Fun | $15.00 | Needs everything to go right |
| Reserve Bank | $15.00 | Needs everything to go right |
| Rothfire | $26.00 | Last start winner — watch market |
| Beadman | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Beskar | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Hidden Wealth | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Marhoona | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Field (remaining) | $51.00+ | Multiple runners at 51+ odds |
⭐ Our selection · 💰 Value pick · Odds from PointsBet — correct at time of publication, confirm before betting · All-in market (ante-post rules apply)
Jimmysstar and Jokers Grin share top billing at $4.50 — both are legitimate Group 1 contenders with the sprint credentials to win this race. Jimmysstar gets the nod as our selection based on slightly superior track and distance form.
Grafterburners at $6.00 is our value play — strong BTC Cup form that directly feeds into this race, and connections have targeted the Doomben 10,000 as a key spring objective. The market may be underestimating the staying power at 1200m set weight.
Rothfire at $26.00 is an interesting each-way prospect — he's a last-start winner who fits the historical profile of horses that run well here without winning. Watch for late market support.
Note: This race runs 16 May 2026 — the field and barrier draw will be confirmed shortly. Odds will firm significantly once final acceptances close.
| Horse | PointsBet Win | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Angel Capital ⭐ | $6.00 | Market leader · proven 1400m sprint form |
| Jokers Grin 💰 | $8.00 | Value at $8 · Doomben 10,000 form · track suits |
| Napoleonic | $8.00 | Competitive · Brisbane carnival specialist |
| King Of Roseau | $11.00 | Group 1 placed · each-way claims |
| Point Barrow | $11.00 | Consistent sprinter · place prospects |
| Grafterburners | $11.00 | Strong form lead-up · watch market |
| Another Wil | $15.00 | Each-way at this distance |
| Linebacker | $15.00 | Class horse · if right, each-way |
| Plaintiff | $15.00 | Each-way contender |
| Private Eye | $15.00 | Place prospects |
| Private Harry | $15.00 | Roughie each-way |
| Regal Award | $15.00 | Each-way |
| Rey Magnerio | $15.00 | Brisbane specialist |
| Sepals | $15.00 | Each-way |
| Brave Monarch | $15.00 | Roughie |
| Warnie | $15.00 | Roughie |
| Yorkshire | $15.00 | Roughie |
| Transatlantic | $15.00 | Roughie |
| Abounding | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Beskar | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Field (remaining) | $26.00+ | Large open field — many at 26+ |
⭐ Our selection · 💰 Value pick · Odds from PointsBet — correct at time of publication, confirm before betting · All-in market (ante-post rules apply)
Angel Capital heads the market at $6.00 and with good reason — proven at this distance, likes Eagle Farm, and the Doomben-Stradbroke path is well-worn by successful runners. Our selection at current odds.
Jokers Grin at $8.00 is our value pick — also from the Doomben form guide where the horse ran competitively. The step up from 1200m to 1400m should suit a horse with that running style and the Eagle Farm track is a proven happy hunting ground.
Key historical stat: Only four last-start winners have won the Stradbroke in 30 years. Horses that run a strong second or third in the Doomben 10,000 are statistically the most likely Stradbroke winners — watch the Doomben result closely before committing your Stradbroke bets.
Linebacker at $15.00 is an each-way roughie worth a small interest — if this horse returns to his best, he has the class to beat this field and is being offered at a generous price.
| Horse | PointsBet Win | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Aeliana ⭐ | $5.00 | Favourite · G1 Derby winner · progressive stayer |
| Half Yours 💰 | $8.00 | Value at $8 · defending Caulfield Cup champion |
| Sir Delius | $11.00 | G1 class · lightly raced · upside |
| Apulia | $11.00 | Group 1 placed · European import |
| Shes A Hustler | $11.00 | Consistent stayer |
| Green Spaces | $11.00 | Solid staying form |
| Autumn Boy | $15.00 | Progressive stayer |
| Zambardo | $15.00 | European raider |
| Calandagan | $15.00 | French raider · top European form |
| Treasurethe Moment | $26.00 | Honest stayer · each-way |
| Buckaroo | $26.00 | Cox Plate form horse |
| Vauban | $26.00 | Irish raider · staying pedigree |
| Middle Earth | $26.00 | Melbourne Cup horse · 2400m on limits |
| Royal Supremacy | $26.00 | Each-way at best |
| Birdman | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Attica | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Deakin | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Travolta | $34.00 | Roughie |
| Willydoit | $34.00 | Roughie |
| Field (remaining) | $51.00+ | Large field — many at 51+ |
⭐ Our selection · 💰 Value pick · Odds from PointsBet — correct at time of publication, confirm before betting · All-in market (ante-post rules apply)
Aeliana at $5.00 is a deserving favourite — Chris Waller's progressive mare won the Australian Derby and has done nothing wrong this preparation. The 2400m of the Caulfield Cup is her perfect trip and she has the class to handle a strong field.
Half Yours at $8.00 is our value selection — the defending champion bidding to win consecutive Caulfield Cups. He completed the rare Caulfield-Melbourne Cup double in 2025 and while he's not the force of nature he was at his peak, $8.00 is generous for a proven champion at this track and distance.
Sir Delius and the European contingent (Calandagan, Vauban, Apulia) at $11–15 add international flavour. European stayers have won regularly in Australian staying races — if the track comes up soft, elevate these runners significantly in your assessments.
Middle Earth at $26.00 — the 2025 Melbourne Cup placegetter — is worth a small each-way interest at that price. His best form is at 3200m but he's placed at Group 1 level over 2400m previously.
| Horse | PointsBet Win | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Sir Delius ⭐ | $4.00 | Joint favourite · WFA specialist · lightly raced |
| Aeliana | $4.00 | Joint favourite · progressive mare · Cox Plate profile |
| Calandagan 💰 | $5.00 | Value at $5 · French raider · WFA suits |
| Sheza Alibi | $7.00 | Strong WFA form |
| Autumn Glow | $9.00 | Golden Eagle winner stepping to WFA |
| Half Yours | $12.00 | Fascinating — Cup horse at WFA |
| Well Written | $21.00 | Each-way hopes |
| Treasurethe Moment | $26.00 | 2025 Cox Plate 3rd · place prospects |
| Buckaroo | $26.00 | 2025 Cox Plate 2nd · honest each-way |
| Light Infantry Man | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Trinity College | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Zambardo | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Mr Brightside | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Attica | $34.00 | Roughie |
| Apocalyptic | $51.00 | Outsider |
| Field (remaining) | $51.00+ | Large field — Cox Plate moves to Flemington 2026 |
⭐ Our selection · 💰 Value pick · Odds from PointsBet — correct at time of publication, confirm before betting · All-in market (ante-post rules apply)
Important 2026 note: The Cox Plate moves to Flemington for the first time in the race's 104-year history — Moonee Valley is closed for major redevelopment. The wide Flemington track is a fundamentally different test to the tight Moonee Valley circuit and creates genuine market uncertainty.
Sir Delius at $4.00 is our selection — a proven weight-for-age horse who missed the 2025 Cox Plate through injury but showed his elite class with his Group 1 Turnbull Stakes win. Lightly raced with upside. The move to Flemington may actually suit his powerful galloping action over the straight.
Aeliana at $4.00 is equally legitimate — her progressive form and Waller preparation make her a genuine $4 chance. The joint favouritism is justified. We edge to Sir Delius purely on the basis of his weight-for-age track record.
Calandagan at $5.00 is our value pick — the French raider has top European WFA credentials and the Cox Plate's WFA conditions historically suit international raiders. Worth a each-way investment at this price.
Half Yours at $12.00 is the fascinating runner — can the Caulfield-Melbourne Cup champion switch to WFA? At $12, the price is generous enough to warrant a small interest for enormous upside if connections map a bold path.
| Horse | PointsBet Win | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Ka Ying Rising ⭐ | $1.50 | Dominant favourite · short but genuine |
| Autumn Glow 💰 | $6.00 | Value at $6 · brilliant 4YO · Golden Eagle winner |
| Jimmysstar | $7.00 | Doomben form translating to Everest |
| Tempted | $8.00 | Competitive each-way hope |
| Joliestar | $11.00 | Group 1 placed · slot confirmed |
| Lazzat | $15.00 | Each-way at best |
| Lady Shenandoah | $15.00 | Place hopes |
| Angel Capital | $15.00 | Place hopes |
| Sheza Alibi | $15.00 | Place hopes |
| Guest House | $15.00 | Place hopes |
| Giga Kick | $17.00 | Explosive speed · barrier draw key |
| Belwacht | $21.00 | Roughie |
| War Machine | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Overpass | $26.00 | Former winner · needs recapture of form |
| Benedetta | $51.00 | Longer than expected — monitor |
| Field (remaining) | $51.00+ | Multiple runners at 51+ |
⭐ Our selection · 💰 Value pick · Odds from PointsBet — correct at time of publication, confirm before betting · All-in market (ante-post rules apply)
Ka Ying Rising at $1.50 is a dominant short favourite — at that price you're backing the horse to win rather than looking for value. The horse has the credentials to justify favouritism but $1.50 means you need to stake heavily for modest returns.
Autumn Glow at $6.00 is our selection and the pick of the value in the race. The 2025 Golden Eagle winner has shown devastating acceleration and brilliant form — her eight-race winning streak suggests a horse operating at the very top of Australian racing. $6.00 is a generous price for a horse of her quality. The step from 1500m to 1200m is a slight query, but her brilliant early speed makes the distance workable.
Jimmysstar at $7.00 is our value pick alongside — the Doomben 10,000 market leader has proven Group 1 sprint form at 1200m which directly translates to Everest conditions at Randwick.
Giga Kick at $17.00 is an each-way roughie worth noting — explosive early speed suits the 1200m sprint and if the barrier draw is kind, this horse can feature in the finish. Watch for market support closer to the race once slots are finalised.
Note: The Everest uses a unique slot system — 12 slots are sold to slot holders who then nominate their runner. Not all slots have been confirmed yet, which is why some expected runners are not yet in the market.
| Horse | PointsBet Win | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Half Yours 💰 | $9.00 | Defending champion · Caulfield-Cup double in 2025 |
| Sir Delius ⭐ | $9.00 | Joint market leader · lightly raced · enormous upside |
| Aeliana | $11.00 | G1 Derby winner · stayer profile · each-way |
| Presage Nocturne | $15.00 | European raider · stayer profile |
| Al Riffa | $15.00 | French raider · strong European form |
| Green Spaces | $15.00 | Consistent stayer · place prospects |
| Calandagan | $15.00 | French raider · Cox Plate form |
| Tennessee Stud | $17.00 | Each-way contender |
| Constitution Hill | $17.00 | UK raider · former champion hurdler |
| Absurde | $26.00 | French stayer · each-way |
| Buckaroo | $26.00 | Each-way stayer |
| Middle Earth | $26.00 | 2025 Cup placegetter · honest stayer |
| River Of Stars | $26.00 | Each-way hopes |
| Valiant King | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Vauban | $26.00 | Irish raider |
| Gilded Water | $26.00 | Roughie |
| Goodie Two Shoes | $51.00 | 2025 Cup runner-up · longer than expected |
| Saint George | $34.00 | Each-way outside hope |
| Field (remaining) | $51.00+ | Full field of 24 · many at 51–201+ |
⭐ Our selection · 💰 Value pick · Odds from PointsBet — correct at time of publication, confirm before betting · All-in market (ante-post rules apply)
Sir Delius and Half Yours share the market lead at $9.00 — both are legitimate $9 chances and the market is correctly pricing them equally. We lean to Sir Delius as our selection based on lightly-raced upside and improving ratings.
Sir Delius remains lightly raced despite his Group 1 Turnbull Stakes win — injury has kept him fresh and his ratings profile continues to improve. Chris Waller's preparation will be meticulous and he arrives at the Cup as a genuine winning chance if his spring prep goes to plan.
Half Yours is the defending champion who completed the Caulfield-Melbourne Cup double in 2025 — only the 13th horse in history to achieve that feat. At $9.00, equal to Sir Delius, he represents excellent each-way value for a proven Cup winner.
European raiders Constitution Hill ($17) and Al Riffa ($15) and Presage Nocturne ($15) warrant respect — European stayers have won 35% of Melbourne Cups over the past 20 years, significantly more than their representation in the field would suggest. If conditions are wet, elevate these runners substantially.
Aeliana at $11.00 — if she bypasses the Caulfield Cup and targets the Melbourne Cup directly, her staying profile and progressive form make her a genuine $11 chance. Watch for market moves closer to spring declarations.
Goodie Two Shoes at $51.00 is longer than expected given she ran second in the 2025 Cup — worth a small each-way interest at that extended price purely on last-year's form.
