AFL Coleman Medal Odds 2026

Ben King is the clear market leader at $2.75 and the form of the competition's most prolific goal kicker in 2026. The Gold Coast SUNS have been significantly improved this season, generating more inside 50 entries than any previous Gold Coast team, and King is the direct beneficiary. His combination of marking ability, leading patterns and genuine physical strength in the air makes him almost unstoppable when the ball arrives inside 50. The $2.75 is short but reflects a player who is genuinely on track for a career-defining season. The risk is all-in - a serious injury would cost the bet regardless of how many goals he has already kicked.

Jeremy Cameron won the 2025 Coleman Medal with 78 goals - a modern benchmark - and enters 2026 as the most proven goal kicker in the competition. He was the reigning champion and at $5 the market is essentially saying Ben King has a significant edge heading into the back half of the season. Geelong's structure is built to feed Cameron and he has the experience to run away with this award late in the season when defenders are fatigued. At $5 with a proven track record, he represents genuine value as a second selection alongside King.

Gunston is our value selection at $7. He is the primary target in a Hawthorn forward line that is generating excellent inside 50 entries on the back of their dominant season in 2026. A proven 50+ goal per season forward at his peak, Gunston has the marking ability and positioning to accumulate a large tally if he stays healthy. Hawthorn are one of the competition's best teams in 2026 - meaning more winning games where the forward line accumulates freely. At $7 he is the best value in the top five of this market.

Charlie Curnow's move to the Sydney Swans was one of the off-season's biggest stories and he has settled into the role of the Swans' primary forward target. Sydney generate excellent inside 50 entries but have historically lacked the pure key forward presence that Curnow provides. The concern is that Sydney share the ball more than most teams - meaning Curnow may not receive the volume of entries that a Gold Coast or Hawthorn forward would. At $8 he is priced fairly given the talent versus system question mark.

Larkey is one of the most underrated forwards in the competition and has kicked 50+ goals in consecutive seasons. North Melbourne's struggles as a team can actually benefit their forward targets - when teams are losing, the ball finds its way to the isolated forward more often. He is a consistent accumulator and at $13 offers genuine outright value for punters looking beyond the top four. The risk is that North Melbourne win few games and he misses out on those high-goal days that separate the Coleman Medal winner from the rest.