St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights Tips & Prediction

Q: Who will win Dragons vs Knights?

Our tip is Knights to win by 10–14 points. The Dragons are winless and the Knights are building momentum after a significant backline boost. Ponga, Best and Brown are operating as a quality combination. Dragons at home will make it competitive

Short Answer

This page contains PuntGuide's match preview, prediction and best bet for this NRL fixture. Line and handicap picks are based on season form, recent form, H2H, venue and team composition data. All tips are free and for informational purposes only -- confirm late team news before placing.

Key Findings

→Line selections require 3+ of 6 signals to align: H2H, form, venue, attack/defence matchup.
→Try scorer picks target outside backs in high-scoring profiles -- named players are confirmed from team lists.
→NRL team lists are finalised Thursday (named) and Sunday (confirmed) -- check for late changes.
→Best NRL prices: compare BetRight, Sportsbet and Bet365 -- line markets vary by up to 1.5 points.
→Tips are informational only -- odds at reading time may differ from live market prices.

NRL Round 10 2026 - WIN Stadium. Expert tip, confirmed team lists, key ins & outs and best bet recommendation.

Our Tip - Dragons vs Knights

NRL Round 10 Prediction

✅ Knights to win by 10–14 points

The Dragons are winless and the Knights are building momentum after a significant backline boost. Ponga, Best and Brown are operating as a quality combination. Dragons at home will make it competitive but the Knights have too much class across the park.

🏆 Best Bet: Newcastle Knights -9.5 @ Sportsbet

Tips are editorial opinion only. Always gamble responsibly. 18+ only.

Team Lists - Round 10

St George Illawarra Dragons

1. Clinton Gutherson
2. Setu Tu
3. Moses Suli
4. Valentine Holmes
5. Mathew Feagai
6. Daniel Atkinson
7. Kade Reed
8. Emre Guler
9. Damien Cook
10. Toby Couchman
11. Dylan Egan
12. Ryan Couchman
13. Hamish Stewart
Bench: 14. Josh Kerr, 15. Loko Pasifiki Tonga, 16. Blake Lawrie, 17. Jacob Halangahu

Newcastle Knights

1. Kalyn Ponga
2. Dominic Young
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Fletcher Sharpe
7. Dylan Brown
8. Jacob Saifiti
9. Phoenix Crossland
10. Trey Mooney
11. Dylan Lucas
12. Jermaine McEwen
13. Mathew Croker
Bench: 14. Sandon Smith, 15. Tyson Frizell, 16. Pasami Saulo, 17. Francis Manuleleua

Key Storylines

Gutherson returns

Captain Clint Gutherson is back from a hamstring injury at fullback, with Tyrell Sloan to the bench. A positive for the Dragons but it won't change the result against a resurgent Knights side.

Dylan Egan comeback

Egan returns from an ACL injury suffered last year after a successful return in NSW Cup. A genuine boost for the Dragons' troubled edge defence.

Knights unchanged

Holbrook has named the same side that beat the in-form Rabbitohs last week - a sign of growing confidence in a backline featuring Ponga, Best, Gagai and Marzhew.

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Frequently asked questions

Our tip is Knights to win by 10–14 points. The Dragons are winless and the Knights are building momentum after a significant backline boost. Ponga, Best and Brown are operating as a quality combination. Dragons at home will make it competitive but the Knights have too much class across the park.

St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights kicks off at 3:00 PM AEST on Saturday, 9 May 2026 at WIN Stadium.

St George Illawarra Dragons are priced at $3.25 and Newcastle Knights at $1.35 with Sportsbet. Line: Knights -9.5. Always compare odds across bookmakers before placing.

Odds - Dragons vs Knights

Our Tip - Dragons vs Knights

Team Lists - Round 10

St George Illawarra Dragons

Newcastle Knights

Key Storylines

Best Bookmakers for NRL Betting

NRL Round 10 Tips

Frequently asked questions