Canberra Raiders vs St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction & Tips
Sunday afternoon at GIO. Raiders 16th, Dragons 17th. Dragons winless on the road, -245 differential. Sasagi returns for the Raiders. Our pick is Raiders $1.33 H2H with Xavier Savage to score.
2:00 PM · Sunday, 28 June 2026 · GIO Stadium
Match Preview
Sunday afternoon at GIO Stadium and the Raiders are heavy favourites for good reason. Simi Sasagi returns after five games out with a shoulder injury, pushing Seb Kris to the interchange. Chevy Stewart and Jake Clydsdale are the new faces on the bench. Josh Papalii (calf) remains sidelined. The Raiders have lost 4 in a row and are 16th on the ladder - but the Dragons are 17th and a level below.
The Dragons keep the same starting 13 as Round 16 with Moses Suli (hip) still out. Blake Lawrie and Lyhkan King-Togia make way for Jacob Halangahu and Nick Tsougranis on the extended bench. The Dragons are 1-13 on the season with a points differential of -245. They're 0-6 on the road, the worst away record in the competition.
GIO Stadium is a fortress when Canberra brings the energy - it's one of the toughest away venues in the comp. Even with the Raiders' form slump, the Dragons are a soft landing. The talent gap is too big across the park. Strange-Sanders-Brailey spine is significantly better than Atkinson-Flanagan. Raiders $1.33 H2H is the call, short price but the right one. Xavier Savage is the tryscorer - pacey strike weapon on the right edge against a Dragons defence that has shipped tries at will.
Odds - Raiders vs Dragons
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Dragons +10.5 $1.83
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Our Tip
Dragons are statistically the worst side in the competition by a clear margin. Even a struggling Raiders side will roll them at GIO. The home side wins by 10+. Savage is in form on the right edge and is a regular tryscorer in winning games.
Casualty Ward & Team News
Raiders
Simi Sasagi returns from five games out with a shoulder injury. Josh Papalii (calf) remains sidelined. Sasagi pushes Seb Kris to the interchange; Chevy Stewart and Jake Clydsdale are the new faces on the bench.
Dragons
Coach Dean Young keeps the same starting 13. Moses Suli (hip) still out. Blake Lawrie and Lyhkan King-Togia make way for Jacob Halangahu and Nick Tsougranis on the extended bench. Dragons 0-6 on the road in 2026.
Official Team Lists
Confirmed Tuesday 23 June 4pm. Late changes possible up to 1 hour before kickoff.
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