NRL Tips · Round 13 · 29–31 May 2026
NRL Round 13 Tips, Predictions & Best Bets
Short Answer
Seven games across three days, every match shaped by Origin backups. Moses out for the Eels (hamstring) plus Paulo 8 weeks (knee) makes Knights −14.5 the standout line. The Panthers parking Cleary, Yeo, McLean and To'o in reserves is the storyline of the weekend — we're taking Warriors +4.5 at CommBank as the Match of the Round.
Key Findings
- →Cleary, Yeo, McLean & To'o in Panthers reserves - Origin fitness will be assessed after Wednesday. Warriors +4.5 at $1.90 is the value play.
- →Moses OUT (hamstring) & Paulo OUT 8 weeks (knee) - Eels gutted with Jack Williams captaining. Knights −14.5 at $1.90 is the standout.
- →Six Roosters Origin reps named - Tedesco, Radley, Robson, Toia, Collins, Walker all to be assessed. Taking Roosters −1.5 $1.85 at AAMI Park.
- →Haas returns for Broncos (first game since R7) - Dragons missing Buchanan & Su'A. Taking Dragons +19.5 as Broncos may rest Origin guns late.
- →Sharks roll out three Origin starters - Brailey, Fonua-Blake, Nikora all named. Hynes OUT (calf), Niwhai Puru at halfback.
PuntGuide Editorial · Round 13 · Fri 29 – Sun 31 May 2026 · Odds: Sportsbet
⚡ Key Team News - Round 13
Nicho Hynes (Sharks) - OUT (calf). Niwhai Puru named at halfback to partner Trindall. McInnes starts at lock in his 100th club game.
Origin trio starting (Sharks) - Brailey #9, Fonua-Blake #8, Nikora #11 all named to back up.
Mitchell Moses (Eels) - OUT (hamstring, same injury as Origin withdrawal). Volkman steps in at halfback alongside Joash Papalii. Iongi returns from ankle at fullback.
Junior Paulo (Eels) - OUT 8 weeks (knee arthroscope). Jack Williams captains and starts at prop.
Tigers full strength return - Jahream Bula back from shoulder, Koroisau back from suspension, Twal back from knee. New centre combo of Turuva and Makasini.
Storm Origin reps starting - Munster, Grant and Loiero all named. Shawn Blore OUT (HIA); MacDonald in.
Roosters: 6 Origin reps named - Tedesco, Radley, Robson, Toia, Collins, Walker. Final fitness call post-Origin. Billy Smith RETURNS from knee on the wing (Tupou OUT calf).
Payne Haas (Broncos) - RETURNS from knee, first game since R7. Piakura back from knee. Staggs/Mam/Shibasaki/Carrigan all named to back up from Origin.
Dragons: Suli RETURNS from back injury, Liddle back from hamstring. Buchanan (shoulder) and Su'A (calf) OUT. Mat Feagai new winger.
Strange & Young (Raiders) - Both named to back up from Origin debut. Seb Kris RETURNS from quad.
Reuben Cotter (Cowboys) - Backing up from Origin. Taumalolo slides to prop. Taulagi back from concussion.
Panthers Origin reps in reserves - Cleary, Yeo, McLean and To'o all listed at 21–24. Cogger at halfback, Lindsay Smith at lock if rested. Liam Martin RETURNS from knee.
Roger Tuivasa-Sheck (Warriors) - SEASON OVER (ACL). Pompey to centres. Niukore added to bench.
Match of the Round
Panthers v Warriors - CommBank Stadium, Sunday 6:15pm
Our tip: Warriors +4.5 $1.90 · Panthers' Cleary, Yeo, McLean & To'o in reserves — Origin fatigue is the story
All Round 13 Matches
Analysis
Coin-flip line at $1.90 both ways but the team news leans Sharks. All three Origin reps starting (Brailey, Fonua-Blake, Nikora) with McInnes back at lock for his 100th club game. Hynes OUT (calf) but Niwhai Puru steps in next to Trindall. Manly's Olakau'atu and Koula sit in reserves only.
Odds & Form
Sharks $1.90, Eagles $1.90. Handicap: Sharks −1.5 $2.00, Eagles +1.5 $1.80. Sharks at home with Origin trio backing up and Sea Eagles missing two of their best forwards/wingers is the side.
Suggested Bets
Bet 1 - Cronulla Sharks ML $1.90Home, Origin trio starting, Hynes OUT but Puru ready · Sportsbet
Bet Now →Bet 2 - Ronaldo Mulitalo anytime try scorerSharks winger · Returned from injury before bye · Betr
Props →
Analysis
The clearest line on the card. Eels are gutted: Moses OUT (hamstring — same injury that pulled him from Origin), Paulo OUT 8 weeks (knee arthroscope), Jack Williams captains. Knights have Ponga and Saifiti backing up from Origin and Holbrook kept the same starting side that downed the Titans in Magic Round. Knights to dominate.
Odds & Form
Knights $1.25, Eels $4.00. Handicap: Knights −14.5 $1.90, Eels +14.5 $1.90. No value at $1.25 ML; the −14.5 line is where the play is given how depleted the Eels go in.
Suggested Bets
Bet 1 - Knights −14.5 $1.90Eels without Moses & Paulo · Knights at home with Origin reps · Sportsbet
Bet Now →Bet 2 - Greg Marzhew anytime try scorerKnights winger · Hot form behind a forward-pack edge · Betr
Props →
Analysis
Tigers get three key returns: Bula back at fullback (three games out, shoulder), Koroisau back from suspension at hooker, Twal back from knee at lock. New centre combo Turuva and Makasini brings size. Bulldogs lose Preston (arm) so Salmon shifts to second row, Hayes starts at lock. Burton starts at five-eighth backing up from Origin; Crichton on extended bench (#23). Tigers at home with full strength returns.
Odds & Form
Tigers $1.67, Bulldogs $2.20. Handicap: Tigers −2.5 $1.85, Bulldogs +2.5 $1.95. Margin 1–12 $3.05 looks fair if you want a price upgrade on the win.
Suggested Bets
Bet 1 - Wests Tigers ML $1.67Bula, Koroisau & Twal all return · Bulldogs missing Preston · Sportsbet
Bet Now →Bet 2 - Jeral Skelton anytime try scorerTigers winger · Attacking edge with Bula at fullback · Betr
Props →
Analysis
Storm have Munster, Grant and Loiero starting; Roosters bring six Origin reps with fitness assessed post-Wednesday. Both sides Origin-tired but the Roosters' overall class wins out at AAMI Park — Cherry-Evans, Walker and Tedesco navigate this kind of game well. Billy Smith returns from knee on the wing in place of Tupou (calf).
Odds & Form
Storm $2.10, Roosters $1.75. Handicap: Storm +1.5 $1.95, Roosters −1.5 $1.85. Roosters −1.5 is the play — class side, road-tested, Origin guns named in 17.
Suggested Bets
Bet 1 - Sydney Roosters −1.5 $1.85Class side, Origin reps in 17 · Sportsbet
Bet Now →Bet 2 - Billy Smith anytime try scorerWing return from knee · Replaces Tupou · Betr
Props →
Analysis
Broncos at $1.13 offer no win-market value — the play is the line. Haas back from R7 knee injury is huge but Origin guns Staggs, Mam, Shibasaki and Carrigan all backing up means Brisbane may rest some late. Dragons have Suli back from back, Liddle back from hamstring; Buchanan and Su'A OUT. +19.5 is a generous line — Dragons just need to stay within three converted tries.
Odds & Form
Broncos $1.13, Dragons $6.00. Handicap: Broncos −19.5 $1.90, Dragons +19.5 $1.90. Broncos margin 13+ $1.40 is the alternate angle if you want to back the blowout. We're on the start.
Suggested Bets
Bet 1 - Dragons +19.5 $1.90Origin backups mean Broncos may rest late · Sportsbet
Bet Now →Bet 2 - Reece Walsh anytime try scorerBroncos fullback · Most likely scorer regardless of margin · Betr
Props →
Analysis
Raiders have Strange and Young backing up from Origin debut, and Seb Kris is back from quad. Laurie, Mariota and Stuart revert to interchange. Cowboys have Cotter backing up from Origin (Taumalolo slides to prop, Lodge to bench). Taulagi back from concussion on the wing. Home advantage and a fitter Raiders backline edges this one — ML is the safer angle than the −3.5 line given Origin fatigue.
Odds & Form
Raiders $1.70, Cowboys $2.15. Handicap: Raiders −3.5 $1.90, Cowboys +3.5 $1.90. Margin 1–12 Raiders $3.25, Cowboys $3.30 — close market.
Suggested Bets
Bet 1 - Canberra Raiders ML $1.70Home, Kris back, ML safer than line · Sportsbet
Bet Now →Bet 2 - Matthew Timoko anytime try scorerRaiders centre · Attacking edge with Kris back · Betr
Props →
Analysis
Ivan Cleary has parked Nathan Cleary, Isaah Yeo, Casey McLean and Brian To'o in the reserves (21–24) and will assess Origin fitness Wednesday night. If Cleary and Yeo don't back up, Jack Cogger plays halfback and Lindsay Smith lock — Panthers without their two best players are not 4.5-point favourites. Warriors lose RTS to season-ending ACL, Pompey shifts to centres, Niukore added to bench. Take the points.
Odds & Form
Panthers $1.57, Warriors $2.40. Handicap: Panthers −4.5 $1.90, Warriors +4.5 $1.90. Liam Martin returns from knee for Panthers — one positive on a night of question marks.
Suggested Bets
Bet 1 - Warriors +4.5 $1.90Cleary/Yeo unlikely to back up · Take the points · Sportsbet
Bet Now →Bet 2 - Thomas Jenkins anytime try scorerPanthers winger · Will play regardless of rest decisions · Betr
Props →
Round 13 Byes (3 Teams)
South Sydney RabbitohsDolphinsGold Coast Titans
Coming Up - 17 June
State of Origin Game 2 - QLD vs NSW, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
NSW lead 1–0 after Tedesco’s dramatic Game 1 match-winner. Ponga facing suspension. Strange vs Moses the big debate. Our tips: NSW ML + NSW 1–12 $3.00.
Game 2 Preview →
